Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-08-0107:10Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

13-4

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	2	4	0	0	3	2	2	0	13	17	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cooling downCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

44%

-10pp

7–9 Late

47%

-4pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

49%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 444Runs Allowed 460

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 473Runs Allowed 429

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	22% 24/109	#325% 27/109	25% 27/109	25% 27/109	25% 27/109	#131% 34/109	25% 27/109	21% 23/109	#229% 25/87	64% 7/11
Cubs	RA	20% 22/109	24% 26/109	22% 24/109	#130% 33/109	#228% 30/109	22% 24/109	19% 21/109	#327% 29/109	21% 17/82	45% 5/11
Reds	R	28% 30/107	27% 29/107	#135% 37/107	26% 28/107	#232% 34/107	25% 27/107	21% 23/107	19% 20/107	#328% 23/81	40% 2/5
Reds	RA	24% 26/107	19% 20/107	#330% 32/107	21% 23/107	#134% 36/107	29% 31/107	#231% 33/107	24% 26/107	24% 20/83	80% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.