Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-3107:10Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

3-6

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	7	0
Reds	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	X	6	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

38%R 50% · RA 25%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

35%R 50% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-8pp

7–9 Late

45%

-5pp

F5 first five

54%

+0pp

F9 full game

49%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 441Runs Allowed 454

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 467Runs Allowed 426

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	22% 24/108	#325% 27/108	25% 27/108	25% 27/108	25% 27/108	#131% 33/108	24% 26/108	21% 23/108	#229% 25/86	64% 7/11
Cubs	RA	19% 21/108	23% 25/108	22% 24/108	#131% 33/108	#228% 30/108	22% 24/108	19% 21/108	#326% 28/108	21% 17/82	45% 5/11
Reds	R	27% 29/106	26% 28/106	#135% 37/106	26% 28/106	#232% 34/106	25% 27/106	22% 23/106	18% 19/106	#328% 23/81	40% 2/5
Reds	RA	25% 26/106	19% 20/106	#230% 32/106	22% 23/106	#134% 36/106	28% 30/106	#330% 32/106	25% 26/106	24% 20/82	80% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.