Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-3007:10Citi Field

Twins

Away

2-15

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Twins	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	9	0
Mets	0	0	0	6	0	5	4	0	X	15	17	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Twins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.5

Twins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.9

Twins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 14%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Mets defense

28%R 40% · RA 15%

Mets offense × Twins defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 62% · Season 62% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

59%

+8pp

F5 first five

53%

-0pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

104 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 505Runs Allowed 454

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 506Runs Allowed 490

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	28% 29/104	32% 33/104	#335% 36/104	27% 28/104	28% 29/104	27% 28/104	#138% 39/104	26% 27/103	#235% 28/80	54% 7/13
Twins	RA	#330% 31/104	30% 31/104	#134% 35/104	24% 25/104	#232% 33/104	26% 27/104	28% 29/104	23% 24/103	24% 20/82	62% 8/13
Mets	R	23% 24/105	24% 25/105	28% 29/105	28% 29/105	#134% 36/105	29% 30/105	17% 18/105	#231% 33/105	#330% 25/84	42% 8/19
Mets	RA	21% 22/105	30% 32/105	28% 29/105	20% 21/105	#133% 35/105	#233% 35/105	24% 25/105	30% 31/105	#333% 28/85	68% 13/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.