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Final
2024-07-3007:10Great American Ball Park
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 15%
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Reds offense × Cubs defense
30%R 45% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
44%
-6pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

107 games
02244668850381494424148347704555955551658417366183527914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 440Runs Allowed 447

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
0234669934550150322745534844465615534464561734408413395510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 460Runs Allowed 425
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR22% 24/107#325% 27/10725% 27/10725% 27/10725% 27/107#131% 33/10724% 26/10721% 23/107#228% 24/8564% 7/11
RA20% 21/10722% 24/10721% 23/107#131% 33/107#227% 29/10722% 24/10720% 21/107#325% 27/10721% 17/8245% 5/11
RedsR28% 29/10526% 27/105#134% 36/10527% 28/105#231% 33/10526% 27/10522% 23/10517% 18/105#328% 23/8140% 2/5
RA25% 26/10519% 20/105#230% 32/10522% 23/105#134% 36/10529% 30/105#330% 32/10525% 26/10523% 19/8180% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.