#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +19pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Padres offense × Nationals defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
+
Nationals offense × Padres defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 72% · Season 51% · +22pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
54%
+0pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+
Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
104 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 473Runs Allowed 447
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
102 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 423Runs Allowed 467
Show raw detail and samples+
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | R | 28% 29/104 | 21% 22/104 | 22% 23/104 | 25% 26/104 | #131% 32/104 | #329% 30/104 | #230% 31/104 | 28% 29/104 | 12% 10/84 | 80% 4/5 |
| RA | #135% 36/104 | 26% 27/104 | 24% 25/104 | #230% 31/104 | 19% 20/104 | 23% 24/104 | 24% 25/104 | 25% 26/104 | #327% 23/86 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Nationals | R | 17% 17/102 | 23% 23/102 | #230% 31/102 | 25% 26/102 | #133% 34/102 | 21% 21/102 | 26% 27/102 | 24% 24/102 | #330% 24/80 | 58% 7/12 |
| RA | 21% 21/102 | #139% 40/102 | 28% 29/102 | 22% 22/102 | #231% 32/102 | 27% 28/102 | 20% 20/102 | #330% 31/102 | 22% 17/78 | 75% 9/12 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.