#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Padres offense × Nationals defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
+
Nationals offense × Padres defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 50% · +20pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
46%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
52%
+1pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+
Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
103 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 461Runs Allowed 444
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
101 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 420Runs Allowed 455
Show raw detail and samples+
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | R | 28% 29/103 | 20% 21/103 | 21% 22/103 | 24% 25/103 | #130% 31/103 | #329% 30/103 | #230% 31/103 | 28% 29/103 | 12% 10/83 | 80% 4/5 |
| RA | #134% 35/103 | 26% 27/103 | 24% 25/103 | #230% 31/103 | 19% 20/103 | 23% 24/103 | 24% 25/103 | 25% 26/103 | #327% 23/85 | 40% 2/5 | |
| Nationals | R | 16% 16/101 | 23% 23/101 | #231% 31/101 | 26% 26/101 | #134% 34/101 | 21% 21/101 | 27% 27/101 | 24% 24/101 | #330% 24/79 | 58% 7/12 |
| RA | 21% 21/101 | #139% 39/101 | 28% 28/101 | 21% 21/101 | #231% 31/101 | 28% 28/101 | 20% 20/101 | #331% 31/101 | 22% 17/77 | 75% 9/12 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.