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Final
2024-07-2308:05Wrigley Field
1-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Brewers scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.3
Brewers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.8
Brewers scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Cubs defense
45%R 60% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Brewers defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 80% · Season 57% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-1pp
7–9 Late
44%
-7pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

99 games
022446688425415334261343704746159541446584475236830349141210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 482Runs Allowed 398

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

101 games
02143658747351494323648346694555355247654417365983026914810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 419Runs Allowed 429
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BrewersR26% 26/9925% 25/9928% 28/99#330% 30/99#132% 32/9921% 21/99#231% 31/9925% 25/9924% 18/7467% 8/12
RA#131% 31/9923% 23/9923% 23/9926% 26/99#327% 27/9922% 22/9926% 26/9923% 23/99#228% 22/7858% 7/12
CubsR22% 22/101#327% 27/10123% 23/10126% 26/10127% 27/101#131% 31/10125% 25/10123% 23/101#228% 22/8064% 7/11
RA19% 19/10123% 23/10123% 23/101#132% 32/101#228% 28/10122% 22/10121% 21/101#325% 25/10121% 16/7745% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.