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Final
2024-07-2202:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.3
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.5
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Diamondbacks offense × Cubs defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Diamondbacks defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
60%
+7pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Diamondbacks — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

99 games
022446688663214353264573505947068545466585673954845319101110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 490Runs Allowed 467

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
02143658747351494323648346694555355247654407365982926913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 417Runs Allowed 428
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
DiamondbacksR#134% 34/9927% 27/99#328% 28/9926% 26/99#233% 33/9922% 22/9927% 27/9926% 26/9927% 21/7850% 6/12
RA21% 21/9929% 29/99#232% 32/9929% 29/99#133% 33/9928% 28/9926% 26/99#330% 30/9919% 15/8075% 9/12
CubsR22% 22/100#227% 27/10023% 23/10026% 26/100#327% 27/100#131% 31/10025% 25/10023% 23/10027% 21/7960% 6/10
RA19% 19/10023% 23/10023% 23/100#132% 32/100#228% 28/10022% 22/10020% 20/100#325% 25/10021% 16/7650% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.