Sportify
Final
2024-07-1402:15Busch Stadium
Cubs
Away
3-11
Team123456789RHE
Cubs100100001372
Cardinals91010000X11130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cardinals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 85% · Season 53% · +32pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
44%
-7pp
F5 first five
62%
+9pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
02142638546241453923445345684534854946654407335782826913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 400Runs Allowed 401

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
0275582110395413236251463413944388545456495074327824219121510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 379Runs Allowed 421
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR22% 21/95#227% 26/9523% 22/9526% 25/95#327% 26/95#131% 29/9526% 25/9522% 21/9527% 20/7460% 6/10
RA18% 17/9521% 20/9523% 22/95#133% 31/95#227% 26/9522% 21/9521% 20/95#325% 24/9522% 16/7350% 5/10
CardinalsR19% 18/9325% 23/93#134% 32/9327% 25/93#229% 27/9328% 26/93#329% 27/9325% 23/9324% 17/7067% 10/15
RA27% 25/9323% 21/9326% 24/9324% 22/93#134% 32/93#329% 27/93#232% 30/9317% 16/9321% 15/7367% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.