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Final
2024-07-1201:10Citi Field
0-7
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 78% · Season 57% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
53%
+3pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
022456790253213972254403483045553533526473673450840299132310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 388Runs Allowed 417

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games
020406080403514541243513433646454564556253175260843399203310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 439Runs Allowed 435
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR15% 14/9324% 22/93#232% 30/9323% 21/93#134% 32/9323% 21/9325% 23/9323% 21/93#331% 23/7458% 7/12
RA19% 18/93#140% 37/9327% 25/9320% 19/93#230% 28/9329% 27/9322% 20/93#330% 28/9323% 16/7175% 9/12
MetsR26% 24/9124% 22/9127% 25/9124% 22/91#232% 29/9130% 27/9120% 18/91#331% 28/91#132% 24/7439% 7/18
RA22% 20/9129% 26/9129% 26/9120% 18/91#333% 30/91#234% 31/9121% 19/9130% 27/91#134% 25/7372% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.