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Final
2024-07-1107:10Citi Field
2-6
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000200000251
Mets10000401X6121

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
53%
+2pp
F5 first five
53%
+0pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
022456790253113972254403463045553533486473673449840299132310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 386Runs Allowed 411

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games
020406080393514541243513433446454560556253175160843399203310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 433Runs Allowed 433
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR15% 14/9224% 22/92#233% 30/9222% 20/92#135% 32/9223% 21/9225% 23/9223% 21/92#332% 23/7358% 7/12
RA18% 17/92#140% 37/9227% 25/9221% 19/92#230% 28/9228% 26/9222% 20/92#329% 27/9223% 16/7175% 9/12
MetsR26% 23/9024% 22/9028% 25/9024% 22/90#232% 29/9029% 26/9020% 18/90#330% 27/90#132% 24/7439% 7/18
RA22% 20/9029% 26/9029% 26/9019% 17/90#333% 30/90#234% 31/9021% 19/9030% 27/90#135% 25/7272% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.