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Final
2024-07-1106:40Petco Park
2-0
Padres
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Mariners010100000240
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Mariners scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 82% · Season 59% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+5pp
7–9 Late
60%
+10pp
F5 first five
53%
-0pp
F9 full game
55%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
01734516940391362823736339494372853138652557404783120915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 358Runs Allowed 349

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
0214263855755132552345034553468325584466236756448204798610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 440Runs Allowed 422
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#325% 23/9324% 22/9323% 21/9325% 23/93#226% 24/9318% 17/93#130% 28/9323% 21/9325% 17/6970% 7/10
RA19% 18/9325% 23/9322% 20/93#328% 26/9322% 20/9325% 23/93#231% 29/93#133% 31/9317% 12/7260% 6/10
PadresR#329% 28/9520% 19/9523% 22/9524% 23/95#231% 29/9529% 28/95#132% 30/9527% 26/9513% 10/7680% 4/5
RA#137% 35/9527% 26/9526% 25/95#231% 29/9518% 17/9524% 23/9525% 24/9524% 23/95#328% 22/7840% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.