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Final
2024-07-1009:40Petco Park
8-3
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 75% · Season 58% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+6pp
7–9 Late
58%
+8pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
01734516839391352823536339494362853138650547404583020915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 350Runs Allowed 346

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
0214263855754132542344834553468315584466134754448204698610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 437Runs Allowed 414
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR24% 22/9223% 21/9222% 20/92#225% 23/92#325% 23/9218% 17/92#129% 27/9223% 21/9224% 16/6870% 7/10
RA20% 18/9225% 23/9222% 20/92#328% 26/9222% 20/9225% 23/92#230% 28/92#133% 30/9217% 12/7160% 6/10
PadresR#330% 28/9420% 19/9423% 22/9424% 23/94#131% 29/9430% 28/94#231% 29/9427% 25/9413% 10/7580% 4/5
RA#136% 34/9427% 25/9426% 24/94#231% 29/9417% 16/9424% 23/9424% 23/9424% 23/94#327% 21/7740% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.