Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-1007:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

5-7

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	5	6	1
Mets	0	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	X	7	11	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

38%R 45% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+9pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

55%

+2pp

F9 full game

54%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 381Runs Allowed 404

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 426Runs Allowed 428

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	15% 14/91	24% 22/91	#233% 30/91	22% 20/91	#135% 32/91	23% 21/91	25% 23/91	22% 20/91	#331% 22/72	58% 7/12
Nationals	RA	19% 17/91	#140% 36/91	27% 25/91	21% 19/91	#231% 28/91	27% 25/91	22% 20/91	#329% 26/91	23% 16/71	75% 9/12
Mets	R	26% 23/89	24% 21/89	28% 25/89	25% 22/89	#133% 29/89	28% 25/89	20% 18/89	#329% 26/89	#232% 24/74	39% 7/18
Mets	RA	22% 20/89	29% 26/89	29% 26/89	19% 17/89	#334% 30/89	#135% 31/89	21% 19/89	29% 26/89	#234% 24/71	72% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.