Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-0704:10T-Mobile Park

Blue Jays

Away

5-4

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Blue Jays	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	11	0
Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	4	6	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Blue Jays scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.6

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.1

Blue Jays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mariners defense

22%R 20% · RA 25%

Mariners offense × Blue Jays defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 65% · Season 47% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+5pp

7–9 Late

44%

-6pp

F5 first five

54%

+0pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 353Runs Allowed 412

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 342Runs Allowed 336

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	19% 17/89	#230% 27/89	#131% 28/89	26% 23/89	18% 16/89	#330% 26/88	28% 25/88	17% 15/88	23% 16/69	62% 5/8
Blue Jays	RA	24% 21/89	25% 22/89	28% 25/89	24% 21/89	30% 27/89	#139% 34/88	23% 20/88	#334% 30/88	#235% 24/68	50% 4/8
Mariners	R	#324% 22/90	23% 21/90	21% 19/90	#226% 23/90	24% 22/90	19% 17/90	#130% 27/90	22% 20/90	23% 15/66	78% 7/9
Mariners	RA	20% 18/90	26% 23/90	22% 20/90	#327% 24/90	21% 19/90	26% 23/90	#229% 26/90	#132% 29/90	17% 12/69	56% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.