Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-0704:10Great American Ball Park

Tigers

Away

5-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Tigers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	5	7	0
Reds	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Tigers scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.3

Tigers scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.6

Tigers scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Reds defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Reds offense × Tigers defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp

Last 20 82% · Season 59% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+5pp

7–9 Late

42%

-8pp

F5 first five

53%

-1pp

F9 full game

50%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 361Runs Allowed 386

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 378Runs Allowed 358

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	#131% 27/88	25% 22/88	20% 18/88	18% 16/88	25% 22/88	#230% 26/88	20% 18/88	#328% 24/87	19% 13/68	50% 6/12
Tigers	RA	28% 25/88	27% 24/88	#330% 26/88	23% 20/88	24% 21/88	#231% 27/88	25% 22/88	24% 21/86	#132% 21/66	50% 6/12
Reds	R	27% 24/88	24% 21/88	#232% 28/88	27% 24/88	#133% 29/88	28% 25/88	22% 19/88	18% 16/88	#329% 20/69	25% 1/4
Reds	RA	27% 24/88	19% 17/88	#332% 28/88	19% 17/88	#135% 31/88	32% 28/88	#233% 29/88	20% 18/88	25% 17/69	100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.