Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-0606:40PNC Park

Mets

Away

2-14

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1
Pirates	0	0	0	2	2	0	4	6	X	14	16	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Pirates defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Pirates offense × Mets defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 70% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

66%

+11pp

7–9 Late

46%

-4pp

F5 first five

55%

+2pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 414Runs Allowed 402

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 344Runs Allowed 381

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	27% 23/85	25% 21/85	27% 23/85	25% 21/85	#134% 29/85	27% 23/85	21% 18/85	#329% 25/85	#233% 23/70	39% 7/18
Mets	RA	24% 20/85	31% 26/85	31% 26/85	16% 14/85	#334% 29/85	#135% 30/85	21% 18/85	27% 23/85	#235% 24/69	72% 13/18
Pirates	R	21% 18/86	22% 19/86	#324% 21/86	#226% 22/86	#135% 30/86	24% 21/86	24% 21/86	19% 16/86	23% 16/71	63% 12/19
Pirates	RA	21% 18/86	16% 14/86	28% 24/86	24% 21/86	#136% 31/86	#233% 28/86	21% 18/86	28% 24/86	#329% 20/68	58% 11/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.