Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-0602:20Wrigley Field

Angels

Away

1-5

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Angels	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0
Cubs	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	X	5	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Angels scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.5

Angels scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Inn.3

Angels scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Angels offense × Cubs defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Angels defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+1pp

7–9 Late

41%

-9pp

F5 first five

51%

-3pp

F9 full game

47%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Angels — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 351Runs Allowed 427

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 364Runs Allowed 390

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Angels	R	23% 20/86	21% 18/86	#327% 23/86	27% 23/86	22% 19/86	#135% 30/86	#229% 25/86	22% 19/86	26% 18/70	45% 5/11
Angels	RA	26% 22/86	#328% 24/86	28% 24/86	27% 23/86	28% 24/86	#133% 28/86	21% 18/86	#231% 27/86	22% 14/65	45% 5/11
Cubs	R	22% 19/88	#227% 24/88	19% 17/88	#326% 23/88	25% 22/88	#131% 27/88	25% 22/88	22% 19/88	26% 18/69	60% 6/10
Cubs	RA	18% 16/88	20% 18/88	23% 20/88	#134% 30/88	#227% 24/88	24% 21/88	23% 20/88	#327% 24/88	23% 15/66	50% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.