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Final
2024-07-0502:20Wrigley Field
2-10
Cubs
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Phillies100100000260
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
25%R 15% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
50%
-0pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
020406080642514334250413511745637549376443273440829329111110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 431Runs Allowed 306

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
02041628343221423722741336664444654746647407295782625913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 354Runs Allowed 388
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#138% 33/8627% 23/8633% 28/8631% 27/86#237% 32/8628% 24/86#334% 29/8627% 23/8629% 17/5860% 9/15
RA23% 20/86#326% 22/86#133% 28/8613% 11/8624% 21/8617% 15/8624% 21/8623% 20/86#226% 19/7447% 7/15
CubsR22% 19/87#228% 24/8720% 17/8725% 22/8724% 21/87#131% 27/8724% 21/8721% 18/87#326% 18/6960% 6/10
RA17% 15/8721% 18/8723% 20/87#133% 29/87#228% 24/8724% 21/8723% 20/87#328% 24/8723% 15/6550% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.