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Final
2024-07-0423:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
0-1
Nationals
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 68% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
56%
+3pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
020406080393514141239513422846452554506252774948841369203310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 414Runs Allowed 401

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
020416283193113066251353442545549532466473373045837269122110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 357Runs Allowed 377
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR27% 23/8425% 21/8427% 23/8425% 21/84#135% 29/8427% 23/8421% 18/84#330% 25/84#233% 23/6939% 7/18
RA24% 20/8431% 26/8431% 26/8417% 14/84#335% 29/84#136% 30/8421% 18/8426% 22/84#235% 24/6972% 13/18
NationalsR14% 12/8622% 19/86#233% 28/8622% 19/86#137% 32/8623% 20/8627% 23/8621% 18/86#332% 22/6960% 6/10
RA20% 17/86#141% 35/8627% 23/8617% 15/86#230% 26/86#329% 25/8621% 18/8628% 24/8621% 14/6670% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.