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Final
2024-07-0408:05Wrigley Field
5-3
Cubs
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Phillies001002020590
Cubs010100100391

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
25%R 15% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
50%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
020406080642514333249413511645637547376443173240829329111110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 426Runs Allowed 303

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
02041628343221413722740335664444654744646407295582625913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 351Runs Allowed 383
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#139% 33/8527% 23/8532% 27/8532% 27/85#238% 32/8527% 23/85#334% 29/8526% 22/8530% 17/5760% 9/15
RA24% 20/85#325% 21/85#133% 28/8512% 10/8525% 21/8518% 15/8524% 20/8524% 20/85#226% 19/7347% 7/15
CubsR22% 19/86#227% 23/8620% 17/8624% 21/8624% 21/86#131% 27/8623% 20/8621% 18/86#326% 18/6860% 6/10
RA17% 15/8621% 18/8622% 19/86#134% 29/86#228% 24/8623% 20/8623% 20/86#327% 23/8623% 15/6450% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.