Sportify
Final
2024-07-0406:45Nationals Park
Mets
Away
5-7
Team123456789RHE
Mets001220000550
Nationals00001321X790

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 67% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+5pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
019395878393514141238513402846251554476252574947841369203310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 409Runs Allowed 394

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
020416283193113066251343442345447529466453372945837269122110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 350Runs Allowed 372
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR28% 23/8325% 21/8327% 22/8324% 20/83#234% 28/8328% 23/8322% 18/83#330% 25/83#134% 23/6839% 7/18
RA24% 20/8331% 26/8331% 26/8317% 14/83#334% 28/83#135% 29/8320% 17/8325% 21/83#235% 24/6972% 13/18
NationalsR14% 12/8522% 19/85#233% 28/8522% 19/85#136% 31/8522% 19/8526% 22/8520% 17/85#332% 22/6960% 6/10
RA20% 17/85#141% 35/8526% 22/8516% 14/85#229% 25/85#329% 25/8521% 18/8528% 24/8522% 14/6570% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.