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Final
2024-07-0308:05Wrigley Field
6-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Phillies021020100690
Cubs001000003450

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 68% · Season 51% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+3pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
020406080642514133248403511645437547376433173240829299111110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 420Runs Allowed 299

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
02041628343221413522639335664444454744646397295582325913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 347Runs Allowed 377
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#139% 33/8426% 22/8431% 26/8432% 27/84#237% 31/8427% 23/84#333% 28/8426% 22/8430% 17/5660% 9/15
RA24% 20/84#225% 21/84#132% 27/8412% 10/84#325% 21/8418% 15/8424% 20/8424% 20/8425% 18/7247% 7/15
CubsR22% 19/85#227% 23/8519% 16/8525% 21/8525% 21/85#132% 27/8524% 20/8521% 18/85#325% 17/6760% 6/10
RA18% 15/8520% 17/8521% 18/85#134% 29/85#227% 23/8524% 20/8522% 19/85#327% 23/8524% 15/6350% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.