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Final
2024-07-0101:40Tropicana Field
0-5
Rays
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Nationals000000000030
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 18%
Rays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Rays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Nationals defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
54%
+0pp
7–9 Late
55%
+5pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01939597919311306324834344224534752942645327284483726981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 341Runs Allowed 351

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
020406080384313923239283304842164539546365173739838309151310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 332Runs Allowed 393
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR15% 12/8223% 19/82#332% 26/8223% 19/82#137% 30/8223% 19/8227% 22/8220% 16/82#233% 22/6662% 5/8
RA21% 17/82#141% 34/8227% 22/8216% 13/82#230% 25/82#328% 23/8221% 17/8228% 23/8222% 14/6362% 5/8
RaysR#330% 25/8328% 23/83#231% 26/8322% 18/8312% 10/8327% 22/8323% 19/8324% 20/83#135% 23/6671% 12/17
RA#331% 26/8318% 15/8323% 19/83#136% 30/8331% 26/83#235% 29/8330% 25/8323% 19/8324% 17/7059% 10/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.