Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-07-0101:35Citizens Bank Park

Marlins

Away

6-7

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	6	12	2
Phillies	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	X	7	14	4

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.7

Marlins scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Phillies defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Phillies offense × Marlins defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+0pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

55%

+1pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 287Runs Allowed 412

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 413Runs Allowed 293

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	22% 18/83	#130% 25/83	17% 14/83	17% 14/83	19% 16/83	#323% 19/83	20% 17/83	14% 12/83	#227% 20/75	62% 10/16
Marlins	RA	#231% 26/83	#330% 25/83	28% 23/83	30% 25/83	#134% 28/83	27% 22/83	28% 23/83	27% 22/83	19% 11/59	44% 7/16
Phillies	R	#139% 32/83	27% 22/83	31% 26/83	#333% 27/83	#236% 30/83	27% 22/83	33% 27/83	27% 22/83	30% 17/56	60% 9/15
Phillies	RA	23% 19/83	#325% 21/83	#131% 26/83	11% 9/83	24% 20/83	18% 15/83	24% 20/83	24% 20/83	#225% 18/71	47% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.