#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 18%
Rays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Nationals offense × Rays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
+
Rays offense × Nationals defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +10pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
56%
+5pp
F5 first five
53%
+0pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
81 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 333Runs Allowed 350
Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
82 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 331Runs Allowed 385
Show raw detail and samples+
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | R | 14% 11/81 | 23% 19/81 | #332% 26/81 | 22% 18/81 | #137% 30/81 | 23% 19/81 | 26% 21/81 | 20% 16/81 | #234% 22/65 | 62% 5/8 |
| RA | 20% 16/81 | #142% 34/81 | 27% 22/81 | 16% 13/81 | #231% 25/81 | #328% 23/81 | 21% 17/81 | 28% 23/81 | 23% 14/62 | 62% 5/8 | |
| Rays | R | #329% 24/82 | 28% 23/82 | #232% 26/82 | 22% 18/82 | 12% 10/82 | 27% 22/82 | 23% 19/82 | 24% 20/82 | #135% 23/65 | 71% 12/17 |
| RA | 30% 25/82 | 18% 15/82 | 23% 19/82 | #135% 29/82 | #332% 26/82 | #235% 29/82 | 29% 24/82 | 23% 19/82 | 25% 17/69 | 59% 10/17 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.