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Final
2024-06-2704:10Petco Park
Nationals
Away
5-8
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
55%
Own scoring 65%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +34pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
55%R 65% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +34pp
Last 20 88% · Season 59% · +28pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
56%
+6pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
01837567518301306024833343204534752941638327284083226981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 327Runs Allowed 339

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
0173451695547128522304233749452305544065530748438173097310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 383Runs Allowed 366
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR14% 11/7924% 19/79#333% 26/7923% 18/79#138% 30/7924% 19/7925% 20/7920% 16/79#233% 21/6362% 5/8
RA20% 16/79#141% 32/7927% 21/7915% 12/79#232% 25/79#328% 22/7922% 17/7928% 22/7923% 14/6262% 5/8
PadresR#131% 26/8419% 16/8424% 20/8423% 19/84#231% 26/84#330% 25/8430% 25/8426% 22/8414% 9/6675% 3/4
RA#136% 30/84#327% 23/8425% 21/84#230% 25/8418% 15/8423% 19/8425% 21/8426% 22/8426% 18/6925% 1/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.