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Final
2024-06-2609:40Petco Park
7-9
Padres
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Nationals004000021790
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +34pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
52%R 60% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +34pp
Last 20 88% · Season 59% · +29pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
55%
+4pp
F5 first five
55%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
01837567518281306024433343204534452937638327264083126981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 320Runs Allowed 330

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
0173451695347128522303833749449305504065530748418172997310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 374Runs Allowed 359
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR14% 11/7824% 19/78#332% 25/7823% 18/78#138% 30/7824% 19/7826% 20/7819% 15/78#232% 20/6262% 5/8
RA19% 15/78#141% 32/7827% 21/7815% 12/78#231% 24/7827% 21/7822% 17/78#328% 22/7823% 14/6262% 5/8
PadresR#130% 25/8319% 16/8324% 20/8323% 19/83#230% 25/8329% 24/83#330% 25/8327% 22/8314% 9/6675% 3/4
RA#136% 30/83#328% 23/8324% 20/83#230% 25/8318% 15/8323% 19/8325% 21/8325% 21/8325% 17/6825% 1/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.