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Final
2024-06-2509:40Petco Park
6-7
Padres
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Nationals00101010036110
Padres0300000004X780

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +29pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
52%R 60% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +29pp
Last 20 82% · Season 58% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
54%
+4pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
0183654721828130572433334320452445293763732726408312695610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 314Runs Allowed 323

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
0173451695347125522303733749449295504065529748418172993 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 367Runs Allowed 353
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR14% 11/7725% 19/77#331% 24/7723% 18/77#138% 29/7725% 19/7725% 19/7719% 15/77#233% 20/6157% 4/7
RA19% 15/77#140% 31/7727% 21/7716% 12/77#231% 24/7727% 21/7722% 17/77#329% 22/7723% 14/6157% 4/7
PadresR#130% 25/8218% 15/8224% 20/8223% 19/82#230% 25/8229% 24/82#330% 25/8227% 22/8214% 9/6567% 2/3
RA#137% 30/82#328% 23/8223% 19/82#230% 25/8217% 14/8223% 19/8224% 20/8226% 21/8225% 17/670% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.