Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-06-2402:10

Orioles

Away

1-8

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	0
Astros	4	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	X	8	15	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Astros defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Astros offense × Orioles defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+1pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

60%

+7pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 402Runs Allowed 284

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 347Runs Allowed 333

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	24% 18/76	#333% 25/76	#141% 31/76	29% 22/76	28% 21/76	25% 19/76	#236% 27/76	33% 25/76	29% 16/56	54% 7/13
Orioles	RA	21% 16/76	#134% 26/76	#226% 20/76	18% 14/76	24% 18/76	22% 17/76	#325% 19/76	16% 12/76	24% 16/66	77% 10/13
Astros	R	#231% 24/77	21% 16/77	#329% 22/77	#136% 28/77	25% 19/77	27% 21/77	26% 20/77	18% 14/77	12% 7/59	44% 4/9
Astros	RA	#330% 23/77	22% 17/77	23% 18/77	22% 17/77	#132% 25/77	#231% 24/77	18% 14/77	22% 17/77	26% 16/61	78% 7/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.