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Final
2024-06-2304:10Great American Ball Park
4-3
Reds
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Red Sox000011020490
Reds2010000003111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 10%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Reds defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Reds offense × Red Sox defense
30%R 50% · RA 10%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+11pp
7–9 Late
54%
+4pp
F5 first five
63%
+10pp
F9 full game
61%
+8pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
01734516937311413723529348374472555533623467383181921991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 352Runs Allowed 308

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
0153146623144136262483633124436395393063049729178303194510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 314Runs Allowed 301
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR30% 23/76#332% 24/7630% 23/76#139% 30/7630% 23/76#238% 29/7618% 14/7628% 21/7618% 11/6064% 7/11
RA24% 18/76#326% 20/7624% 18/76#228% 21/7620% 15/7624% 18/76#136% 27/7624% 18/7623% 14/6155% 6/11
RedsR#329% 22/7524% 18/75#231% 23/7527% 20/7528% 21/7528% 21/7521% 16/7521% 16/75#132% 18/5725% 1/4
RA#231% 23/7521% 16/7529% 22/7520% 15/75#132% 24/7528% 21/75#331% 23/7520% 15/7529% 17/58100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.