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Final
2024-06-2209:40Petco Park
5-9
Padres
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Brewers0000401005111
Padres01002231X9154

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Brewers scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.1
Brewers scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Brewers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Padres defense
22%R 30% · RA 15%
Padres offense × Brewers defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 53% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
51%
+0pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
0163248643244146232472933728447495353165134739208213096810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 361Runs Allowed 296

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
0163350675347124472303733349446255484065027746418172593 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 350Runs Allowed 338
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BrewersR28% 21/75#329% 22/7528% 21/7524% 18/75#132% 24/7525% 19/75#232% 24/7525% 19/7525% 14/5671% 5/7
RA#232% 24/7521% 16/7525% 19/7524% 18/75#328% 21/7521% 16/7525% 19/7517% 13/75#134% 20/5957% 4/7
PadresR#132% 25/7918% 14/7925% 20/7923% 18/79#229% 23/79#329% 23/7929% 23/7925% 20/7914% 9/6467% 2/3
RA#138% 30/79#328% 22/7924% 19/79#232% 25/7916% 13/7924% 19/7923% 18/7927% 21/7925% 16/640% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.