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Final
2024-06-1701:05Wrigley Field
2-1
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals020000000290
Cubs000000100150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 36%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
37%R 29% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
38%R 41% · RA 36%
Sample 11Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 75% · Season 52% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
60%
+10pp
F5 first five
48%
-4pp
F9 full game
52%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games
0214263842939119212283232730432675413464043729168191793710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 267Runs Allowed 306

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games
01531466234191382522133327494403854339636377244682319911810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 297Runs Allowed 313
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR20% 14/6920% 14/69#230% 21/6925% 17/6928% 19/69#133% 23/69#329% 20/6922% 15/6925% 13/5343% 3/7
RA#328% 19/6922% 15/6923% 16/6923% 16/69#136% 25/6928% 19/69#233% 23/6914% 10/6924% 12/5057% 4/7
CubsR21% 15/71#330% 21/7118% 13/7123% 16/7127% 19/71#135% 25/7123% 16/7123% 16/71#230% 17/5656% 5/9
RA20% 14/7118% 13/7121% 15/71#134% 24/71#325% 18/7124% 17/7125% 18/71#227% 19/7125% 13/5356% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.