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Final
2024-06-1602:20Wrigley Field
Cardinals
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
38%R 31% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
39%R 39% · RA 40%
Sample 11Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 78% · Season 52% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
61%
+10pp
F5 first five
48%
-4pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

68 games
0214263842939119212283232628432675413464040729168191793710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 266Runs Allowed 301

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
01530456034191382522133325484403854339633377244682319911810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 292Runs Allowed 312
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR21% 14/6821% 14/68#231% 21/6824% 16/6828% 19/68#134% 23/68#329% 20/6822% 15/6825% 13/5243% 3/7
RA#328% 19/6822% 15/6824% 16/6822% 15/68#137% 25/6828% 19/68#232% 22/6815% 10/6824% 12/5057% 4/7
CubsR21% 15/70#330% 21/7019% 13/7021% 15/7027% 19/70#136% 25/7021% 15/7023% 16/70#230% 17/5656% 5/9
RA20% 14/7019% 13/7021% 15/70#133% 23/70#326% 18/7024% 17/7026% 18/70#227% 19/7025% 13/5256% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.