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Final
2024-06-1502:20Wrigley Field
3-0
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 36%
Cubs scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
52%R 60% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
20%R 15% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 73% · Season 48% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
59%
+9pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games
0214263842939119212283232628432675413464040728168171793710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 263Runs Allowed 301

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games
01530456034191382522133325484403854339633377244582317911810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 292Runs Allowed 309
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR21% 14/6721% 14/67#231% 21/6724% 16/6728% 19/67#134% 23/67#330% 20/6721% 14/6724% 12/5143% 3/7
RA#328% 19/6722% 15/6724% 16/6722% 15/67#137% 25/6728% 19/67#233% 22/6715% 10/6724% 12/4957% 4/7
CubsR22% 15/69#330% 21/6919% 13/6922% 15/6928% 19/69#136% 25/6922% 15/6923% 16/69#231% 17/5556% 5/9
RA20% 14/6919% 13/6922% 15/69#133% 23/69#226% 18/6925% 17/69#326% 18/6926% 18/6924% 12/5156% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.