Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-06-1407:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

2-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	8	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2X	3	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 24%

Opponent allowing 59%

Mets scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-2pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

57%

+4pp

F9 full game

54%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 241Runs Allowed 343

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 292Runs Allowed 321

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#322% 15/67	#230% 20/67	18% 12/67	19% 13/67	22% 15/67	21% 14/67	19% 13/67	15% 10/67	#130% 18/60	55% 6/11
Marlins	RA	28% 19/67	#133% 22/67	28% 19/67	#330% 20/67	#233% 22/67	28% 19/67	28% 19/67	25% 17/67	20% 10/49	36% 4/11
Mets	R	#327% 18/66	24% 16/66	26% 17/66	20% 13/66	#235% 23/66	21% 14/66	20% 13/66	26% 17/66	#137% 21/57	29% 4/14
Mets	RA	23% 15/66	#336% 24/66	30% 20/66	18% 12/66	32% 21/66	#238% 25/66	20% 13/66	26% 17/66	#143% 23/54	71% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.