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Final
2024-06-1307:10Citi Field
4-10
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins020020000492
Mets23001022X10140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 59%
Mets scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
44%R 29% · RA 59%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
31%R 33% · RA 29%
Sample 17Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 75% · Season 66% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
53%
+3pp
F5 first five
55%
+2pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games
0132741554142129332214332044424435243362143716288341997510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 237Runs Allowed 333

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
01632486527261213722843323234523853440617197343483834982310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 282Runs Allowed 317
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#323% 15/66#229% 19/6618% 12/6620% 13/6621% 14/6621% 14/6620% 13/6615% 10/66#131% 18/5955% 6/11
RA27% 18/66#132% 21/6629% 19/66#330% 20/66#232% 21/6629% 19/6627% 18/6624% 16/6620% 10/4936% 4/11
MetsR#326% 17/6523% 15/6526% 17/6520% 13/65#234% 22/6522% 14/6518% 12/6525% 16/65#137% 21/5729% 4/14
RA23% 15/65#335% 23/6531% 20/6518% 12/6531% 20/65#238% 25/6520% 13/6526% 17/65#143% 23/5371% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.