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Final
2024-06-1207:10Citi Field
4-2
Mets
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Marlins010020001460
Mets020000000241

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Marlins scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 59%
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
42%R 25% · RA 59%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
34%R 39% · RA 29%
Sample 16Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 76% · Season 65% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
55%
+5pp
F5 first five
55%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
0132741554142128312214332044422435243362143716288331997510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 233Runs Allowed 331

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
01632486527261193622843323234523653440617197343483833982310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 280Runs Allowed 313
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#323% 15/65#228% 18/6518% 12/6520% 13/6520% 13/6522% 14/6520% 13/6515% 10/65#129% 17/5855% 6/11
RA28% 18/65#231% 20/6529% 19/65#331% 20/65#132% 21/6529% 19/6528% 18/6525% 16/6521% 10/4836% 4/11
MetsR#327% 17/6422% 14/6427% 17/6420% 13/64#234% 22/6422% 14/6419% 12/6425% 16/64#138% 21/5629% 4/14
RA23% 15/64#334% 22/6431% 20/6419% 12/6430% 19/64#239% 25/6420% 13/6427% 17/64#142% 22/5271% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.