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2024-06-0602:10
4-2
Astros
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Cardinals001021000450
Astros000020000250

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 10%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Astros defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Astros offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 15% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 73% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+6pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games
0183654732638117212233132124429585313263937725158161493710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 230Runs Allowed 277

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
0173451693555121262352835118421385243564520727248122694610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 275Runs Allowed 276
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR22% 13/5920% 12/59#229% 17/5922% 13/59#329% 17/5929% 17/59#132% 19/5922% 13/5923% 11/4743% 3/7
RA#331% 18/5925% 15/5925% 15/5924% 14/59#234% 20/5931% 18/59#136% 21/5915% 9/5924% 10/4157% 4/7
AstrosR#232% 20/6221% 13/62#327% 17/62#142% 26/6223% 14/6226% 16/6226% 16/6216% 10/6215% 7/4838% 3/8
RA#135% 22/6221% 13/6219% 12/6223% 14/62#232% 20/62#332% 20/6219% 12/6223% 14/6227% 13/4875% 6/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.