Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-06-0107:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Rays

Away

1-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	X	3	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.2

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Orioles defense

25%R 25% · RA 25%

Orioles offense × Rays defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 65% · Season 59% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+3pp

7–9 Late

45%

-6pp

F5 first five

47%

-5pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 224Runs Allowed 272

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 272Runs Allowed 203

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#328% 16/57	26% 15/57	26% 15/57	21% 12/57	12% 7/57	#230% 17/57	23% 13/57	26% 15/57	#132% 14/44	67% 10/15
Rays	RA	30% 17/57	18% 10/57	21% 12/57	#233% 19/57	#332% 18/57	#142% 24/57	26% 15/57	21% 12/57	29% 14/49	67% 10/15
Orioles	R	22% 12/54	#331% 17/54	#137% 20/54	30% 16/54	26% 14/54	24% 13/54	#235% 19/54	28% 15/54	28% 11/40	50% 5/10
Orioles	RA	20% 11/54	#128% 15/54	26% 14/54	20% 11/54	20% 11/54	22% 12/54	#228% 15/54	17% 9/54	#327% 13/48	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.