Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-3001:10Great American Ball Park

Cardinals

Away

5-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	12	1
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.1

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

38%R 50% · RA 25%

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 15% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+3pp

7–9 Late

54%

+4pp

F5 first five

54%

+2pp

F9 full game

55%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 208Runs Allowed 245

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 224Runs Allowed 231

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	19% 10/53	23% 12/53	23% 12/53	21% 11/53	#230% 16/53	#330% 16/53	#132% 17/53	23% 12/53	24% 10/41	33% 2/6
Cardinals	RA	30% 16/53	25% 13/53	23% 12/53	25% 13/53	#136% 19/53	#232% 17/53	#332% 17/53	13% 7/53	23% 9/39	67% 4/6
Reds	R	#327% 15/55	25% 14/55	24% 13/55	24% 13/55	27% 15/55	#129% 16/55	20% 11/55	24% 13/55	#229% 12/42	25% 1/4
Reds	RA	#233% 18/55	20% 11/55	25% 14/55	25% 14/55	#331% 17/55	27% 15/55	#136% 20/55	18% 10/55	26% 11/43	100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.