Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2909:40Petco Park

Marlins

Away

0-4

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1
Padres	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	X	4	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Padres scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cooling downCombined vs league -6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Marlins defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

40%

-13pp

7–9 Late

35%

-16pp

F5 first five

43%

-9pp

F9 full game

41%

-11pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 202Runs Allowed 281

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 250Runs Allowed 241

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#324% 13/55	#229% 16/55	16% 9/55	22% 12/55	18% 10/55	24% 13/55	18% 10/55	13% 7/55	#130% 15/50	55% 6/11
Marlins	RA	25% 14/55	#135% 19/55	25% 14/55	#231% 17/55	#331% 17/55	31% 17/55	29% 16/55	27% 15/55	18% 7/39	36% 4/11
Padres	R	#232% 18/57	18% 10/57	26% 15/57	25% 14/57	19% 11/57	#332% 18/57	#133% 19/57	21% 12/57	11% 5/46	67% 2/3
Padres	RA	#140% 23/57	#330% 17/57	23% 13/57	#232% 18/57	16% 9/57	26% 15/57	21% 12/57	23% 13/57	22% 11/49	0% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.