Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2909:40T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

2-4

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1
Mariners	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	X	4	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Mariners scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 62% · Season 55% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-6pp

7–9 Late

58%

+7pp

F5 first five

50%

-2pp

F9 full game

52%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 244Runs Allowed 249

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 205Runs Allowed 211

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#233% 18/54	20% 11/54	24% 13/54	#139% 21/54	22% 12/54	26% 14/54	#328% 15/54	17% 9/54	16% 7/43	43% 3/7
Astros	RA	#133% 18/54	22% 12/54	19% 10/54	24% 13/54	#331% 17/54	31% 17/54	19% 10/54	19% 10/54	#232% 13/41	71% 5/7
Mariners	R	22% 12/55	#135% 19/55	18% 10/55	22% 12/55	20% 11/55	20% 11/55	#227% 15/55	22% 12/55	#327% 11/41	100% 3/3
Mariners	RA	20% 11/55	27% 15/55	22% 12/55	#331% 17/55	18% 10/55	20% 11/55	#236% 20/55	#138% 21/55	12% 5/41	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.