Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2809:40T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

2-3

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
Mariners	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	3	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-6pp

7–9 Late

62%

+12pp

F5 first five

50%

-3pp

F9 full game

53%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 242Runs Allowed 246

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 202Runs Allowed 209

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#234% 18/53	21% 11/53	25% 13/53	#140% 21/53	21% 11/53	26% 14/53	#328% 15/53	17% 9/53	17% 7/42	43% 3/7
Astros	RA	#132% 17/53	23% 12/53	19% 10/53	25% 13/53	#232% 17/53	#332% 17/53	19% 10/53	19% 10/53	32% 13/41	71% 5/7
Mariners	R	20% 11/54	#135% 19/54	19% 10/54	22% 12/54	20% 11/54	20% 11/54	#228% 15/54	22% 12/54	#327% 11/41	100% 3/3
Mariners	RA	20% 11/54	28% 15/54	22% 12/54	#331% 17/54	17% 9/54	20% 11/54	#237% 20/54	#139% 21/54	12% 5/40	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.