Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2806:40Petco Park

Marlins

Away

1-2

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	2
Padres	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	X	2	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Padres scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Padres defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Padres offense × Marlins defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

44%

-9pp

7–9 Late

37%

-14pp

F5 first five

46%

-6pp

F9 full game

44%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 201Runs Allowed 279

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 248Runs Allowed 240

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	#324% 13/54	#230% 16/54	15% 8/54	22% 12/54	19% 10/54	24% 13/54	19% 10/54	13% 7/54	#131% 15/49	55% 6/11
Marlins	RA	26% 14/54	#133% 18/54	26% 14/54	#231% 17/54	#331% 17/54	31% 17/54	28% 15/54	28% 15/54	18% 7/39	36% 4/11
Padres	R	#132% 18/56	16% 9/56	27% 15/56	25% 14/56	20% 11/56	#232% 18/56	#332% 18/56	21% 12/56	11% 5/46	67% 2/3
Padres	RA	#141% 23/56	#330% 17/56	21% 12/56	#232% 18/56	16% 9/56	27% 15/56	21% 12/56	23% 13/56	23% 11/48	0% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.