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Final
2024-05-2307:40Wrigley Field
Braves
Away
9-2
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Braves scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#2
Inn.5
Braves scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.1
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cooling downCombined vs league -10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Cubs defense
22%R 10% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Braves defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league -4pp
Last 20 52% · Season 54% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
38%
-15pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
38%
-13pp
F5 first five
42%
-10pp
F9 full game
42%
-10pp
Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0112233442327119112281232821413225201361617735218191895510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 206Runs Allowed 167

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
0112233452915129142171431933431335323662216717308141096610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 216Runs Allowed 207
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BravesR#331% 14/4524% 11/4531% 14/4529% 13/4520% 9/4522% 10/4522% 10/45#142% 19/45#232% 10/3156% 5/9
RA#129% 13/4516% 7/4518% 8/4520% 9/45#229% 13/4518% 8/4524% 11/4522% 10/45#326% 10/3844% 4/9
CubsR24% 12/49#233% 16/4920% 10/4922% 11/4927% 13/49#137% 18/4920% 10/4922% 11/49#327% 10/3750% 4/8
RA22% 11/4920% 10/4912% 6/49#135% 17/49#329% 14/49#231% 15/4918% 9/4924% 12/4920% 8/4050% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.