Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2301:46Busch Stadium

Orioles

Away

4-5

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	2
Cardinals	0	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	X	5	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.2

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Cardinals defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Cardinals offense × Orioles defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 64% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+3pp

7–9 Late

48%

-3pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

51%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 225Runs Allowed 172

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 184Runs Allowed 228

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	24% 11/46	#333% 15/46	#235% 16/46	30% 14/46	28% 13/46	24% 11/46	#137% 17/46	26% 12/46	26% 9/34	50% 5/10
Orioles	RA	20% 9/46	#128% 13/46	#228% 13/46	24% 11/46	17% 8/46	24% 11/46	#328% 13/46	13% 6/46	27% 11/41	70% 7/10
Cardinals	R	19% 9/48	25% 12/48	19% 9/48	21% 10/48	#229% 14/48	#329% 14/48	#131% 15/48	23% 11/48	23% 9/39	33% 2/6
Cardinals	RA	#331% 15/48	25% 12/48	23% 11/48	25% 12/48	#140% 19/48	#233% 16/48	31% 15/48	15% 7/48	17% 6/35	67% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.