Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2301:10Progressive Field

Mets

Away

3-6

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	8	0
Guardians	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	X	6	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 13%

Guardians scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 57%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Guardians defense

25%R 37% · RA 13%

Guardians offense × Mets defense

44%R 31% · RA 57%

Sample 13Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 69% · Season 58% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

46%

-7pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

48%

-5pp

F9 full game

50%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 206Runs Allowed 222

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 238Runs Allowed 176

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	27% 13/48	19% 9/48	27% 13/48	17% 8/48	#231% 15/48	21% 10/48	17% 8/48	#331% 15/48	#138% 16/42	33% 4/12
Mets	RA	23% 11/48	#333% 16/48	31% 15/48	17% 8/48	33% 16/48	#140% 19/48	19% 9/48	21% 10/48	#235% 13/37	67% 8/12
Guardians	R	22% 11/49	24% 12/49	22% 11/49	#131% 15/49	#231% 15/49	27% 13/49	22% 11/49	27% 13/49	#328% 10/36	80% 8/10
Guardians	RA	22% 11/49	18% 9/49	#129% 14/49	24% 12/49	#227% 13/49	#327% 13/49	14% 7/49	22% 11/49	15% 6/41	50% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.