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Final
2024-05-2207:40Wrigley Field
Braves
Away
3-4
Cubs
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Team12345678910RHE
Braves0201000000351
Cubs0200010001X471

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Braves scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.8
Braves scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.1
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Cubs defense
20%R 10% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Braves defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 52% · Season 53% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
36%
-18pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-6pp
7–9 Late
41%
-10pp
F5 first five
40%
-12pp
F9 full game
41%
-11pp
Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
011223344232711792281232721413225201261617735218191895410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 203Runs Allowed 163

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
0112233452915127122171431932431335313662216717308141095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 212Runs Allowed 204
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BravesR#332% 14/4423% 10/4432% 14/4427% 12/4420% 9/4423% 10/4423% 10/44#143% 19/44#233% 10/3062% 5/8
RA#130% 13/4414% 6/4418% 8/4420% 9/44#230% 13/4416% 7/4425% 11/4423% 10/44#327% 10/3738% 3/8
CubsR25% 12/48#231% 15/4821% 10/4823% 11/4827% 13/48#135% 17/4821% 10/4823% 11/48#328% 10/3643% 3/7
RA23% 11/4819% 9/4812% 6/48#133% 16/48#329% 14/48#231% 15/4819% 9/4825% 12/4821% 8/3957% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.