Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-2106:10Progressive Field

Mets

Away

1-3

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
Guardians	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	X	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 13%

Guardians scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 56%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Guardians defense

25%R 37% · RA 13%

Guardians offense × Mets defense

41%R 27% · RA 56%

Sample 15Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 67% · Season 59% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

42%

-10pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

46%

-6pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 199Runs Allowed 212

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 228Runs Allowed 169

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	28% 13/46	20% 9/46	26% 12/46	17% 8/46	#230% 14/46	20% 9/46	17% 8/46	#330% 14/46	#140% 16/40	33% 4/12
Mets	RA	22% 10/46	#335% 16/46	30% 14/46	15% 7/46	33% 15/46	#139% 18/46	20% 9/46	22% 10/46	#235% 13/37	67% 8/12
Guardians	R	21% 10/47	26% 12/47	21% 10/47	#130% 14/47	#230% 14/47	26% 12/47	23% 11/47	28% 13/47	#328% 10/36	80% 8/10
Guardians	RA	23% 11/47	19% 9/47	#128% 13/47	#226% 12/47	#326% 12/47	26% 12/47	15% 7/47	21% 10/47	15% 6/39	50% 5/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.